VUCA: Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity
How do smart investors navigate the turbulent waters of today’s markets and economy? How do we survive and even begin to look past the storm to the other side?
A thread putting together some thoughts:
Acknowledge the present; all these moon boys who are 14 years old and are taking pocket money from their parents don’t give a damn about you.
They are not you.
Only YOU are in charge of your own PNL, family, and life.
Surround yourself with a good network like the 999club
Look forward to the near future and think probabilistically about what can potentially happen and buffer in what you don’t think can happen and ask yourself if you can survive that.
Don’t try to be a hero. The first time I got into a boxing match, the advice I was given was to just survive it, don’t try to win it. Always consider your R/R when deploying capital and ensure any leverage, synthetic or actual, is manageable to you in the worst case.
Start doing your homework on what you really like and want to invest it. What trends will survive and win on the other side? What are the horses which are irreplaceable and sure winners on those trends? ENS Domains anyone?
Consider your liquidity and time horizon for investing; how long can you last and how long can you keep consistently investing without the need to sell?
Maximise all income sources and ensure your costs are kept low. If you are YOLOing now into glamorous shit to impress ANONs online, you need a sit down with your mummy and daddy to have a heart-to-heart talk.
Keep building, learning, connecting, and watching your psychic energy. Be watchful, when things turn, start going in, but don’t go all in, spread your bets and remember the lessons of this cycle, and don’t repeat these same mistakes.
Remember, you are gonna make it.